Italy v England Prediction – EURO 2020 Final – 12/07/21

Italy v England Prediction EURO 2020 Final 12 JUL 21
Kickoff: 03:00 AM (GMT +8)Stadium: Wembley Stadium

Match Countdown


Italy v England Prediction (EURO 2020) – Italy are going head-to-head with England in the EURO 2020 Final at Wembley Stadium. Will the Azzurri cap off their 33-game winning streak by becoming champions of Europe? Or is “football coming home” to the Three Lions after 55 years of hurt? Have a quick look and read on for our winning tips below.

Italy v England Prediction - Head to Head

31Goals scored33

Italy v England Prediction - Recent Matches

27-Mar-18International FriendlyENG1-1ITA
31-Mar-15International FriendlyITA1-1ENG
14-Jun-14FIFA World CupENG1-2ITA

Italy v England Prediction - Form (All Competitions)


Both Italy and England have been undefeated in the tournament. However, while Italy have won all of their matches convincingly, England had to settle for a scoreless draw with neighbour Scotland in the group stages. Let’s take an in-depth look into both teams.

Italy v England Prediction - Preview


Italy earned their ticket to the final by beating Spain 1-1 (4-2) in a tense match. After a quiet first half, the Azzurri launched a counter-attack with Ciro Immobile bringing down the ball before passing to Federico Chiesa who went round the defence and curling his shot in the 60th minute for a goal. After 20 minutes, Alvaro Morata equalised for La Roja by slotting in the ball after a one-two with Dani Olmo. The deadlock continued into extra time, setting up a penalty shootout, which saw Jorginho scoring the decider. Manager Roberto Mancini was happy that they were able to prove Italy’s doubters wrong, after many “believed that they would not make the final”. They now put their winning streak on the line as they take on England in their home stadium, and aim for the ultimate prize in the tournament.

  • Italy have never lost to England at a major finals, with 2-1 World Cup victories in 1990 (3rd place playoff) and 2014 (group stage) on top of those EURO triumphs.
  • The Azzurri failed to win any of its first 8 meetings with the Three Lions.


England are through to their first major tournament final in 55 years, after an emphatic win over sentimental favourites Denmark, 2-1. The Danes took the lead at 30 minutes via a spectacular free-kick by Mikkel Damsgaard which curled over a wall of defenders into the net. Nine minutes later, the Three Lions equalised as Simon Kjaer made an own goal while trying to deflect Bukayo Saka’s cross from the right flank. Despite many opportunities from both sides to close it out in 90 minutes, it took until the first half of extra time for England to make the breakthrough, as Harry Kane followed through on a missed penalty awarded after Raheem Sterling was challenged in the box. After the victory, manager Gareth Southgate cautioned his side that celebrations have to be cut short, as they “have one more hurdle to clear” before claiming football glory. And as they face a formidable Italy side, their biggest challenge is yet to come.

  • England had tournament-ending losses in their previous EURO matches with Italy. They lost 0-1 in the 1980 group stage, and fell in the penalty shootout in the 2012 quarter-finals.
  • The Three Lions have managed to win only once in their last 7 meetings with the Azzurri.

Italy - Injuries, Bans, Suspensions

PlayerInformationAnticipated Return
Leonardo SpinazzolaAchilles tendonMid September

England - Injuries, Bans, Suspensions

No players are currently reported injured or suspended.

Italy v England Prediction - Final Thoughts

This is the hardest match in the tournament to predict so far; both Italy and England cancel each other out with their depth, teamwork and strategies. The absence of key player Leonardo Spinazzola due to injury will have a slight effect on the Azzurri on game day. There will also be pressure on them as they will be playing before a mostly hostile crowd in London. England will also have a bit of the pressure, as they play in their first final since 1966 and the potential to lose if the match goes to penalties. With that, we are predicting England to take the game to Italy early on, and get the win in a close match, resulting in them lifting the European Championship for the very first time. Let’s take a look at the prediction.

Italy v England Prediction

We will be betting on the Asian Handicap and Over/Under in Euro football odds for this match:


England (0)

Odds (1.87)
Over: 2 GoalsOdds: 1.96

Disclaimer: The odds change from time to time without prior notice and is only available at the time of writing

For this UEFA EURO 2020 Final Italy v England Prediction to win, England need to win the match in full time with a one-goal lead. For the Over/Under bet to win, the total goal count should be above 2 goals.

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